A Carteira d´O Alquimista

[O Alquimista]

https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =230#p3042

Trading by definition is uncomfortable. You are taking risk on an unknown outcome betting money each time. It doesn't matter how many times the setup worked in the past. The market has no memory and the future is never quite like the past. That's why every trade is tension. Every trade is pressure. Every trade is stress. - Boris Schlossberg

[O Alquimista]

https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =240#p3141

Cont.

Many others such as classmate Dewey’s Foundation for the Study of Cycles have shown the “order” underlying stock and future prices. For example the recent rise in price of Copper futures was predicted by the cyclical studies of that Foundation several years before the advance took place. - Alan Andrews

[O Alquimista]

Cont.d´O Activo Duplicando.


The FTSE responds to many things, just not the things you know. - Polemic Paine

[O Alquimista]

https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =240#p3141

Com o preço bem encaminhado chega ao fim o acompanhamento.

A large countermove is indicated and confirms the first action as above when prices cross the first Trend Line sloping away from the original line. This line may be a trend line, a median line, a reaction line, or a moving average line. The rule still applies. - Alan Andrews

[O Alquimista]

https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =250#p3224
https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =250#p3246
Com o preço bem encaminhado chega ao fim o acompanhamento destes dois activos.

https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =250#p3269
Entretanto, a primeira aquisição do FI Alquimia 2018 foi executada.


Charlie Munger was once asked why more people haven’t copied Berkshire Hathaway’s strategy. “More investors don’t copy our model because our model is too simple,” he said. “Most people believe you can’t be an expert if it’s too simple.” - Morgan Housel

[O Alquimista]

Cont.


Obviously the slope of the TLs depends upon the relative proportions of the coordinates used by the maker of the chart. But by counting how frequently these pivots occur, and the exactness of fit for each particular stock or commodity charted, indicates the reliability of the probability for their reoccurrence. And action can be taken when the odds are strongly in your favor. - Alan Andrews

[O Alquimista]

Even where prices pass the W lines they usually double back to it at least even if the original trend toward that W line is resumed. But usually there is a worthwhile reversal as shown by the W for the PrML6-7. - Alan Andrews

[O Alquimista]

Notice the probability that there will be a good profit from the reversal each time prices reach an H or a WL as well as when prices again reach the original ML - Alan Andrews

[O Alquimista]

https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =240#p3171
https://navegarnabolsa.pt/forum/viewtop ... =250#p3262

Understand that people play different games. A long-term investor sees a headline about selling stocks before earnings and shakes his head in disbelief. A trader reads an article about Stocks for the Long Run and thinks people are oblivious. Momentum investors think they’re both missing it. Bond investors think all three are crazy. It’s fine. There are all kinds of ways to invest. What’s important, as a reader, is that you don’t take your cues from someone writing about a different game. - Morgan Housel

[O Alquimista]

Based on the facts we have in hand in December 2017, the markets are telling us to be open to much better-than-expected outcomes for stocks over the next five to 20 years. - Chris Ciovacco